Former President Donald Trump’s secret trial, which began last week in Manhattan, could give him victory in the 2024 election if it ends in conviction, polls show, even though less than a portion of the electorate deserves to be convicted.
A Quinnipiac University poll conducted Wednesday found strong engagement in the lawsuit, in which he is accused of paying cash to an adult movie star to boost his chances of winning the 2016 election, with nearly 70 percent of the electorate saying they are watching news about the trial. and 21% say they would be less likely to vote for him if convicted.
A majority of the electorate takes the charges seriously: 57 percent in a New York Times/Siena poll released Saturday and 60 percent in the Quinnipiac poll, though 46 percent in the Times/Siena poll said he deserved to be convicted and 46 percent of respondents in Quinnipiac said he did something illegal.
When asked if Trump would be matched to serve if convicted in each of his four felon cases, about a portion of adults surveyed by AP/NORC in a poll released earlier this month said he would not, but less than 10 percent of voters said Trump did nothing wrong and expressed that sentiment about each case.
Polls show that a conviction in any of Trump’s four criminal cases, including the hush money case, could influence the final results of the November election, as Trump and President Joe Biden are in the single digits and the race will likely be through a handful of swing states that Biden won with just tens of thousands of votes in 2020.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos ballot released last week, about 13 percent of the electorate who said they would vote for Trump said they would not do so if convicted of a crime. Trump if convicted of a felony, which may be enough to saddle him with the election. .
Voters are split along party lines: Only 14 percent of Trump Republicans are at fault in the Manhattan case, which accuses him of falsifying records to hide discreet cash payments, compared with 86 percent of Democrats and 54 percent of independents, according to a March report. Poll Politico. /Ipsos.
0. 3 points. That’s Trump’s lead over Biden in the general election, according to RealClearPolitics average of polls.
The AP/NORC vote suggests that Trump’s claims that his four criminal cases are aimed at thwarting his chances of being elected seem to resonate with much of the public. About 44% of respondents said they were not very or not at all convinced that Manhattan prosecutors treated Trump fairly, while 42% said the same about Georgia state prosecutors and 45% said the same about federal prosecutors: effects when asked about the fairness and impartiality of judges in the instances.
The Reuters/ISPOS poll shows that a majority of adults consider each of Trump’s criminal cases to be “serious,” though they are less so when it comes to the hush money case. About 65% said the case was serious, compared to their classified federal documents case (70%), their Georgia election interference case (72%) and the federal voter fraud case (75%). About 31% of the Trump electorate’s conduct in the case of monetary silence was unethical, but not illegal. according to the AP/NORC ballot that found 12% said the same about their election interference case in Georgia, 18% for their role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot and 15% for their classified federal documents case.
Trump faces 34 counts of falsifying business records in the Manhattan case, accusing Trump and his company of paying $420,000 to his former lawyer Michael Cohen in payment of bills Cohen made to adult film star Stormy Daniels in exchange for her silence about an affair she claims to have. Prosecutors increased fees for falsifying business records, normally a misdemeanor, to misdemeanors by alleging that Trump committed the alleged crimes and committing the secondary offense of violating the crusade’s finances, arguing that the bills were actually political donations to Trump that exceeded legal limits. limit. Trump has pleaded not guilty to the charges and has continually claimed, without evidence, that the state is prosecuting Juan Merchan and that the prosecutor who brought the case, Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, was running on Biden’s behalf to help him win the election. election.
Prosecutors on Monday began calling witnesses to testify in the case before the 12-person jury decided last week. David Pecker, former editor of the National Enquirer and a longtime friend of Trump’s, was the first to speak, admitting to the jury that the tabloid articles had been deliberately “embellished” to help Trump prepare for the 2016 election. Prosecutors say Pecker alerted Cohen that Daniels was looking to sell his story, a detail he has yet to address in his first two days of testimony. He continues his testimony on Thursday.
Judge Trump Merchan warns of arrest if Trump interrupts or skips Hush Money trial (Forbes)
Trump prosecutors will be fined $3,000 for violating Judge Merchan’s gag order (Forbes)
Trump’s Trial Will Come With ‘Access Hollywood’ Tape, But No Sexual Assault Allegations, Trial Says (Forbes)
Judge Trump Presents ‘Most Comprehensive Questionnaire’ to Jurors in Hush Money: Here Are the Questions (Forbes)
Trump trasheds Manhattan Hush Money case just before going to court (Forbes)
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