Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping and their respective spy agencies have assessed recent events unfolding in the United States: the Trump-Biden debate, the NATO summit in Washington, and President Biden’s suitability to run for office.
WITHOUT PUTIN, WHAT DID ZELENSKYY’S SWISS PEACE SUMMIT ACHIEVE?
Vladimir Putin, President Biden and Xi Jinping (Getty Images | Reuters)
They concluded that, despite Washington’s rhetoric and blows, the security of the United States is compromised. It would be unexpected if the two dictators refrained from exploiting this situation. Here’s why.
First, between now and January 20, the United States will continue to be led by a president who is increasingly seen as unable to fully fulfill his duties as commander in chief, a critical vulnerability, especially in times of crisis or even war. . The Trump-Biden presidential debate and the “Big Boy” press conference, in which Biden referred to Ukrainian Volodymyr Zelenskyy as “President Putin” and Kamala Harris as “Trump’s vice president,” showed what Putin and Xi already knew : Biden is seriously affected. cognitively and physically.
While many Americans may not have been aware of this fact, thanks to the concerted efforts of Biden officials and some media outlets to cover it up, it came as no surprise to the Russians and Chinese, whose intelligence agencies routinely profile each of them. every U. S. president Unidos. La new takeaway for Putin and Xi is that, bombarded with calls for Biden to withdraw from the race, his government is now fighting for its survival and is obviously not focused on United States’s security. It will take a lot to further unbalance an already distracted American president and his team.
Second, by further committing to Ukraine’s security, the United States is further committing itself to a very likely war with Russia, which would be catastrophic. The Pentagon has no viable military strategy to win such a war, just as it does not have one in Ukraine to this day. Such a war would likely cross the nuclear threshold, as assessed by US intelligence.
IGNORING THE FBI DIRECTOR’S URGENT WARNING ABOUT TERRORIST THREATS TO OUR OWN DANGER
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg speaks with President Biden at a NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, on July 12, 2023. (AP Photo/Pavel Golovkin, File)
At the Washington summit, the 32-member NATO alliance officially declared Ukraine, which has been a component of Russia’s strategic security perimeter since the 9th century, on an “irreversible” path to membership. Russia and the United States have officially declared themselves to be the main threats to each other’s security.
Putin, who for years has declared the Ukrainian NATO club a “red line,” is likely to threaten to go to war with the United States over Ukraine, as war exercises conducted through the U. S. intelligence network have revealed. , adding nuclear weapons, area weapons, and cyberwarfare. The Kremlin believes that this strategy can achieve victory on Russia’s terms.
Third, neither the United States nor NATO has the trade capacity to wage war with Russia, let alone a war on two fronts, with Russia and China.
Putin is ready for a years-long war in Ukraine, having put the Russian military and economy on a war footing seven years before the invasion. Putin has also shielded the Russian economy from sanctions, which – contrary to Washington’s predictions – is growing, driven by the arms production sector. With a comfortable monetary cushion of $580 billion in foreign currency and gold reserves, Russia has increased its defense budget by 70% between 2024 and 2023.
Russia’s arms production increased in one year as follows: seven times for tanks, six times for ammunition, quadruple for armored platforms, and double for artillery systems and rockets. Drone production will increase by up to 80% in 2023.
CLICK HERE FOR THE REVIEW NEWSLETTER
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks to the media as he arrives at a NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, July 12, 2023. (AP Photo/Mindaugas Kulbis)
By contrast, the US and European allies, who are not officially at war, do not have the production capacity or contractual capacity to compete with Putin’s war machine. Last week, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg once admitted in the US House of Representatives that Western production capacity is inadequate and that Ukraine’s demands that the military remain in the fight against Russia have not been fully fulfilled.
Unlike Russia, where Putin can order factories to shift from civilian to military production, American and European defense industries are subject to bureaucratic requirements such as funding approval and the ability to contract. contracts. These corporations cannot begin producing weapons until a contract has been negotiated, approved, and financed.
In addition, many high-tech U. S. weapons have proved useless on the battlefield in Ukraine. The Russians, who have studied the United States’ use of generation in military operations over the past two decades, have developed countermeasures for what the Pentagon calls “network-centric warfare. “Russia’s impressive electronic warfare capabilities have disrupted or degraded many GPS-dependent U. S. combat systems.
According to the Wall Street Journal, citing Ukrainian commanders, some American munitions are no longer used on the battlefield. For example, the M982 Excalibur, developed through RTX and BAE Systems, and the ground-introduced small diameter bomb, manufactured through Boeing and Saab of Sweden.
President Biden and former President Trump debate at CNN studios in Atlanta on June 27, 2024 (Kyle Mazza/Anadolu Getty Images).
In April, a senior leader of the U. S. Space Force was arrested in the U. S. The U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission, a new branch of service created by President Trump, highlighted the “unprecedented point of electronic warfare (EW)” used by Russia to jam U. S. GPS. The U. S. military is based on the U. S. military. . for fundamental purposes by adding precision in orientation and command and control. Col. Nicole Petrucci, commander of USSF combat forces in a position as head of Space Delta 3, an AFA Warcombaters in Action event, expressed fear that U. S. forces would struggle to function in such an environment. He pressed the need for “good simulators” and “good enough” instructors who understand the “high-risk environment” to train the U. S. military’s personnel corps to fight wars with United States’ major adversaries, such as Russia and China.
Other U. S. officials have admitted that the climax of electronic warfare in Ukraine may overshadow what the United States might face in a clash with China, which is crippling U. S. satellites in wartime, adding a kinetic point.
CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP
During his Big Boy press conference, Biden stated that “NATO is more powerful than ever. ” He reminded us that America’s legal responsibility under Article Five – which commits the United States to protect any NATO member in the event of attack – is “sacred. ” He added that he “will not withdraw from Ukraine,” which is not yet a member of NATO.
What Putin and Xi have concluded, however, is that, despite billions of dollars spent each year on intelligence, high-tech weaponry, and wars abroad, Washington has failed to fill some glaring gaps in American security. I’m glad to know that a former president of the United States, and in all likelihood long-term, is still alive only because of a natural disaster, not because he’s well protected.
CLICK HERE TO READ MORE ABOUT REBEKAH KOFFLER
Rebekah Koffler is an Army strategic intelligence analyst and freelance writer. She is the author of Poutine’s playbook; Regnery 2021 and host of a podcast “Censored but not silenced”. Rebekah is also a member of American Bolsheviks: the persecution of Donald Trump and the Sovietization of the United States; Post Hill Press, November 12, 2024. Twitter: @rebekah0132
Get the roundup of the week’s key opinion pieces and original content.